20 Years From Now: Personal flying vehicles will inter the mainstream – We already have the Terrafugia. In 20 years, I see the cost being reasonable and most political, legal and technical issues being resolved. There will be lots of places to fly and I can see people living in areas that they can only fly to. *grins* Environmentally, it may not be as acceptable having unexplored habitats invaded, but I don’t see how you can stop someone if they want to park on a mountain peak.*chuckles*
I would use as series of NGT events because this technology has already had an early product developed and now needs barriers to full introduction removed.
Legally a person can own a car or a plane so this supports ownership of a hybrid of the two. *grins* Also, the FAA approved the Terrafugia to fly. Technically, MIT’s team has proven that it is feasible to build the base product so this supports its success. *grins* Economically, the cost will have to be cut in half for the average family to afford one. Also, a vast number of maintenance facilities and convenient fueling facilities will have to be built and many mechanics trained to support them. Homes or garages would need to be modified to store them.
I believe that a combination of closed collaboration and open collaboration would help to evaluate the hurdles. *grins* The submittal of the initial solutions should be submitted anonymously, but peer reviewed equally and openly according to the NGT process which can occur relatively quickly. At a minimum for NGT, submittal of 3 X5 cards into a box and having the facilitator coordinate their review with the groups is all that is needed to get started. A series of events for individual issues would be pursued until all hurdles are addressed.*smiles*
References:
http://decide-guide.com/nominal-group-technique/
http://www.mycoted.com/Nominal_Group_Technique
http://www.mycoted.com/Improved_Nominal_Group_Technique
http://books.google.com/books?id=cpc7CJH1-s8C&pg=PA226&lpg=PA226&dq=classical+nominal+group&source=bl&ots=nJbnATGo5F&sig=7SS8COxMw1utHsbl9MO6YDYLEKg&hl=en&ei=VNtjTY6jDs-btwfGpdT6Cw&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=9&sqi=2&ved=0CD4Q6AEwCA#v=onepage&q=classical%20nominal%20group&f=false
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